With touch interface devices like the iPad and iPhone now outselling the traditional PC desktop (and then some), and Microsoft recently unleashing their own Windows 8 touch experience, is it possible that the days may be numbered for the traditional mouse and keyboard desktop?
Windows 8 (Microsoft's soon to be released upgrade to it's flagship product) is extremely touch centric. A mouse and keyboard can be used to navigate the OS, but the design paradigm is clearly focused more on touch. In response PC manufactures are revamping their offerings with a wide range of touch laptops, all-in-ones and touch screen monitors, but the question is; how well will touch scale to a wide range of products? Will the future of PC design force us to reach out and touch our screens?
Gorilla Arms
It's a question of ergonomics. Sure touch based interfaces are intuitive but at the scale we're used to with phones and tablets we use the devices more like a pad of paper or a small note book. We usually hold the device in our hands or lay it flat. With a laptop or desktop screen at close to a 90 degree angle, we would to raise our arms and hold them suspended in air to interact with the screen.
In industrial design circles they call this problem "gorilla arms", since after a while you're arms become exhausted and tend to droop like, well, a gorilla's arms. It's kind of an awkward posture. So what's the long term solution? How do we use computers that offer mostly touch based navigation, at sizes above what will comfortably fit in your hands?
The Drafting Table Approach
If you have ever used a drafting table or an easel you're likely very accustomed to the idea of gorilla arms. When I attended art school, we we're instructed that standing made for the best posture for drawing and painting. Eventually my arms became accustomed to the posture; arms out and resting on nothing. Perhaps a similar consideration might apply to larger touch based computers?
It's possible, but there are market factor at play. Think about how we design desks; a large flat surface. This has dictated how we setup computers the way we do. Perhaps an angled computer, like a giant drafting table might sound appealing to designers and architechs, but in practice it's hardly a paradigm you can expect everyone to adopt.
On Apartment Therapy we have often explored the health benefits (and issues) of using a standing desks, so perhaps an Easel based computer isn't so far fetched for some users. Unfortunately this is of little use to the general populous, since we're unlikely to see the entire world move to a standing posture for working.
Reign Of The Typewriter
In addition to the ergonomic considerations, there is also just the simple fact that a century old invention (the typewriter) still dictates much of how we input text. The QWERTY keyboard I'm typing on today, hasn't changed much since it's development. The layout of the keyboard, (a design decision made to avoid common letters from jamming) is one we are stuck with for better or worse.
Most proficient typists would be hard pressed to make the move to an alternative layout, or text input method...never mind text input on a touch screen. Text or more importantly language input is in serious need of a interface evolution. Perhaps that will be voice dictation, or maybe one day we'll have computers that can read our thoughts, but for now a flat on your desk keyboard is still the most logical solution to getting words on the screen.
Making It Work
In the future innovations in tactile feedback, touch screen tech, and and gesture recognition will likely advance the state of touch to a point where we can really move beyond the PC paradigm that has existed since the first PC's (Microsoft itself offers a great vision of that).
Tablets will continue to take over in the consumer space, (most of them manufactured by Apple) but the old standby office desktop computer and corporate laptop will likely stay the same (in terms of how we use them) whether or not they ship with a touch screen for the forseeable future.
Personally the idea of a ridiculously large drafting table computer with a well designed touch and stylus interface is an exciting prospect, but there is a reason I still reach for my Macbook Air when I need to write long form text. While I do get work done on my iPad, a touch interface does has it's caveats. Until those are overcome, the traditional PC interface and design, will still has a place on our desks.
(images: Sean Rioux)

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I'v never understood touch screen monitors.. having to lift your are and precisely poke your screen somewhere is a lot more work than (best being a trackpad) than moving your cursor around.
"having to lift your are and precisely poke your screen somewhere is a lot more work than (best being a trackpad) than moving your cursor around."
This really depends on what kind of work you're doing. Sitting in a cubical, yeah, a mouse is easier, but there are other situations where tapping the screen is SO much simpler. A lot of businesses are using computers instead of cash registers now, and in a point of sale type situation it is easier, and many times faster, to simply touch the screen than it is to grab the mouse, figure out where it is on the screen, move the pointer to the button you want, and click.
Like HCI mentioned, it depends on the use. I would not use a touch interface sitting at my desk all day.
Also, touch screens are not necessarily as sensitive as they need to be for precision work (think CAD or GIS work)
I work in a public library. Within about 20 feet of where I sit there are 16 public computers and 3 staff computers. Another 20 feet away are additional computers. There is no current alternative data entry method (ESPECIALLY voice activated!!!) that would function in this environment to permit conservation of use of space and some measure of privacy (and quiet) for searching. A few of these systems, with appropriate software upgrades, could be touch screen, but for the most part, we will need keyboards or the equivalent for a long time.
What works when you are home alone may NOT work in public or in cubicles where privacy is needed for work. (Think of programmers and trying to write code without a keyboard!)
I do like touch for kiosks for limited info like travel information or menus/nutrition information... But they suck for any large amount of data input.
I work in a public library. Within about 20 feet of where I sit there are 16 public computers and 3 staff computers. Another 20 feet away are additional computers. There is no current alternative data entry method (ESPECIALLY voice activated!!!) that would function in this environment to permit conservation of use of space and some measure of privacy (and quiet) for searching. A few of these systems, with appropriate software upgrades, could be touch screen, but for the most part, we will need keyboards or the equivalent for a long time.
What works when you are home alone may NOT work in public or in cubicles where privacy is needed for work. (Think of programmers and trying to write code without a keyboard!)
I do like touch for kiosks for limited info like travel information or menus/nutrition information... But they suck for any large amount of data input.
It doesn't have to be all-or-none for touch vs type. The author mentions Windows 8, but doesn't mention the Microsoft Surface, which has a very well designed mix of touch and type with the slim keyboard / cover when you need it and touch when you don't. I'm sure there are some keyboard accessories for iPad and Android tablets too (though in my opinion they aren't as slick as the one for Surface).
That said, I don't think manufacturers, or anyone else really, is suggesting that either interface goes away any time in the near future. Seems like more choice is better, right, not a concern as it appears to be portrayed here.
My $0.02.
This is a little off topic, but the worst place for touchscreens is in a car. I don't even use my iPhone for music anymore because it's too distracting to have to look at the screen to do anything at all.
Yeah, I don't get articles with titles asking "ARE KEYBOARDS AND MICE DOOMED????" Obviously not, as I would guess like 90% of jobs which involve computers would be torture to do using a touch interface. Recreationally, I'm sure we will see a fairly steep decline, but honestly? Keyboards and mice/trackpads work. They work well. I am glad to have a touch screen phone, but if standard laptops died and my options were "get a touchscreen device for normal, personal computing, or get a desktop and effectively cut my computer usage in half," it would be an easy choice to find other stuff to do than shop online and read blog posts answering obvious questions with obvious answers. But, given how many tablets have been sold and continue to sell (and sell, and sell), that is more than likely a minority viewpoint.
The online gaming community is definitely going to need a mouse for quite a while.
Two things.
1) It's "populace" not "populous". The former is a noun, the latter is an adjective. (pet peeve of mine)
2) It's actually not that hard to switch to a new keyboard. It takes about 2 weeks of frustrating typing on a new keyboard, and then your brain gets used to it. I know this because I spent a year in France, where the keyboards are different, and you just adapt. With touchscreen-keyboards, you could actually give people the option to switch to a more efficient typing layout if they want.
I'm surprised that the "pictures under glass" problem and the development of haptic touchscreens aren't mentioned. To make screens more tactile like physical buttons, screens are being developed that can dynamically arch up and make buttons where the buttons need to be, depending on the interface: http://www.fastcompany.com/1839437/tactus-creates-touchscreen-keys-you-can-feel
Particularly for people who hate the iphone's keyboard (i.e. everyone with thumbs), a screen like this would be a godsend. It's definitely a matter of when, not if.
it's probably negligible for manufacturers, but there are people with fine-motor disabilities for whom a touch screen is torture and using a keyboard is comparatively easier.
it's probably negligible for manufacturers, but there are people with fine-motor disabilities for whom a touch screen is torture and using a keyboard is comparatively easier.
I completely agree with @travislessness - touch screens DO NOT belong in the car. I cannot believe they make car stereos etc. with touch screens now. When you are driving and want to put on some music it is dangerously distracting to have to look down and touch the stupid screen just right to get it to do what you want. I even considered going back to my old flip phone just so I could feel the damned buttons rather than having to look at a touch screen - of course I finally got a hands-free device, but still it's just annoying. We rely on tactile buttons for driving so we can feel around and keep our eyes on the road. I think the need to be current with all the latest technology has gone too far in some instances and touch screens are not appropriate for all uses.
Ask the pen if the keyboard is obsolete.
Lets break this down as to why the author and commentators arent all that thrilled with touch interfaces on PCs.
Apple doesnt have one for Macbook Pros or iMacs.
Since they dont, the typical reader here thus see it as stupid, a distraction, or just "hard" to deal with.
None of this is true, nor does it make any honest sense as the touch features with Windows 8 dot forbid the use of a keyboard or mouse no more than the mass inclusion of the mouse in the 80s didnt render the keyboard obsolete.
But I will guarantee you the minute Apple copies this idea, hopefully not tying to con a patent in the process, the wholesale opinion here will shift 180 to touchscreen computers being awesome, fun, so useful, and a great enhancement even though the basics haven't changed, just the logo on the box will be one to give permission to be hypocrites.
Touch screen is good for a portable device, but close to useless on anything as stationary as desktop PC and anything that`s used for long periods of time. Hands up, please, everyone who is WORKING on his/her touchscreen device 8 hours every day, and by "working" I mean "creating" text, images, anything. Nobody? I thought so.
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The main problem with today`s touchscreen technology is that it still tries to fit into completely wrong idea of what a touch interface should look and feel like. Let`s face it - stationary touchscreen is passable ONLY for internet or information kiosks and nothing else, and only because statistical user doesn`t use it long enough to get tired or annoyed.
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This is because no UI available for PCs today (even that new one with colorful tiles) is designed from scratch for use witch a real multitouch interface, and there`s no hardware providing really comfortable multitouch operation. The closest idea of a usable multitouch input device - multitouch UI combo I know of is here:
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http://10gui.com/video/ .................................................................
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I recommend you all to watch the video because it not only presents a new approach to a touch interface, but also presents an overview of today`s multitouch UI problems.
The other problem is that UI designers, who should focus on ergonomics, focus on catching up with fashion and being trendy at cost of usability. Yesterday it was a mouse with a touchpad on top - a really crazy and inefficient idea that didn`t catch, today it`s the "multitouch at all costs", what will be tomorrow? I`ll tell you: tomorrow there will be keyboard and mouse, as it is today and as it was yesterday, because it`s simple and efficient enough, and no matter how multitasking our computers are going to be, we are still pretty much single-tasking creatures. And that`s something no engineer, no UI designer and no marketing rep can change.
Sorry for all these dots in the post above, I couldn`t get that damn preview to display my post properly, seemed like it was clipping all formatting from the text. Could somebody do something about it?